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Credit Scoring Conference: 2007 Archive

 

 

Note - Presentations and Abstrats are in Adobe PDF format and will open in a new browser window.

 

Author(s)

Title

Affiliation

 

 

 

Professor Ed Altman
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Are Historically Based Default and Recovery Models in the High-Yield and Distressed Debt Markets Still Relevant in Today’s Credit Environment?

Stern School, New York University

 

 

 

Gerard Scallan
PDF Presentation (Presentation)

Life After Basel: Rethinking the Feedback Loop

ScorePlus

 

 

 

Dr RL Phillips
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Optimising the Price of Consumer Credit

Nomis Solutions and Stanford University

 

 

 

T de la Rey

JH Venter
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Detecting outliers in credit scoring using logistic regression

 

 

 

 

Maurice Joseph
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract
(Abstract)

Attaining sharper Pricing-for-Risk in the UK Sub-Prime Mortgage Market

 

 

 

 

Chris Sykes
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Using Monte Carlo simulation to investigate the link between changes in bad debt as a result of changes in credit scorecard performance as measured by the Gini coefficient

 

 

 

 

Lorenzo Quirini
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract
(Abstract)

A New Model to Measure the Creditworthiness of Borrowers in Fixed Term Loans and Revolving Financial Products

 

 

 

 

JMC Santos Silva

JMR Murteira
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Estimation of Default Probabilities Using Incomplete Contracts Data

 

 

 

 

Ricardo R Reyes Pino

Daniela M Zenteno Langle
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Empirical Graphic Validation of Explanatory Variables in Retail Credit-Scoring Models

 

 

 

 

Robert M Oliver
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Revisiting the Kelly Criterion or How to Get Rich with Retail Credit

 

 

 

 

Edward Huang
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Scorecard Specification, Validation and User Acceptance: A Lesson for Modellers and Risk Managers

 

 

 

 

Hussein Abdou

John Pointon

Ahmed El-Masry
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Neural Net Credit Scoring Models for Egyptian Banks: An Evaluation of Consumer Loans

 

 

 

 

Joseph L Breeden, PhD

David Ingram
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Monte Carlo Scenario Generation for Retail Loan Portfolios

 

 

 

 

Fabio Wendling Muniz de Andrade

Ricardo Gonçalves da Silva
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Use of macro-economic factors in credit scoring – application to point in time risk evaluation of SMEs

 

 

 

 

David Edelman
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Credit Scoring and Credit Control - Coming of Age

 

 

 

 

Mark Stirling

Paul Robinson
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Measuring confidence levels in the predictions of credit risk models

 

 

 

 

Mark Kelly
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract
(Abstract)

Predicting Insolvency and Preventing Losses Using Transaction Analytics: Customer Treatment in Real Time

Fair Isaac

 

 

 

Gerald Fahner
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract
(Abstract)

Multiple-Goal Scores

Fair Isaac

 

 

 

Marc Cohen
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

New Directions in Automated Decisioning

Fair Isaac

 

 

 

Hassan Sabzevari

Mehdi Soleymani

Eman Norbakhsh
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

A comparison between statistical and Data Mining methods for credit scoring in case of limited available data

 

 

 

 

Dennis Ash

Shannon M Kelly

William W Lang

William Nayda

Haining Yin
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Segmentation, Probability of Default and Basel II Capital Measures for Credit Card Portfolios

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

 

 

 

Bob Stine
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Spatial Models for Retail Credit

Wharton School

 

 

 

Tony Bellotti

Jonathan Crook
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Credit scoring with macroeconomic variables

 

 

 

 

Tony Bellotti

Jonathan Crook
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Support vector machines for credit scoring and discovery of significant features

 

 

 

 

Raymond Anderson
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Risk Assessment of SMEs and Larger Businesses - Some Frameworks

 

 

 

 

Dennis Dell
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Making Affordability Models work for you!

PIC Solutions

 

 

 

Dennis Dell
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Middle East Skip Scorecards - Predicting foreigners leaving a country

PIC Solutions

 

 

 

Debashish Sarkar
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract
(Abstract)

Incorporating Stochastic Dominance Constraints in Credit Scoring Methodology – Models & Experimental Results

 

 

 

 

Michiko I Wolcott
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Effect of Positive Credit Bureau Data in Credit Risk Models

Equifax

 

 

 

Pingchuan Ma

Jonathan Crook

Jake Ansell
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Acceptance and Profit Modelling

 

 

 

 

Hsin-Vonn Seow

Lyn C Thomas
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract
(Abstract)

Responses to Profit

University of Nottingham

 

 

 

Joe Whittaker

Zhen Liu

Mark Somers
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

VaR for low default portfolios based on a single factor hazard model

 

 

 

 

G Stahl

E Nill

B Siehl

J Wilsberg
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Risk Modelling and Model Risk - The IRBA Case

 

 

 

 

George Wilkinson
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Unsecured personal Loans and Credit Insurance - the Risk Implications

 

 

 

 

George Wilkinson
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract
(Abstract)

Responsible Lending

 

 

 

 

Alex Kordichev

Natalia Katilova
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Credit Scoring in the Developing Markets - The Case Study of Russia

 

 

 

 

John Banasik

Jonathan Crook
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract
(Abstract)

Reject Inference and Survival Modelling

University of Edinburgh

 

 

 

Adam R Brentnall

Martin J Crowder

David J Hand
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract
(Abstract)

A Statistical pattern for the temporal pattern of ATM withdrawals

Imperial College London

 

 

 

Will Potts
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract
(Abstract)

Elliptical Predictors in Logistic Regression

Capital One

 

 

 

Sigurdur Ingolfsson

Bjarki Thor Elvarsson
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Cyclical adjustment of point-in-time (PIT) PD

 

 

 

 

Andrea MAF Minardi

Antonio Zoratto Sanvicente

Rinaldo Artes
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

A Methodology for Estimating Credit Ratings and the Cost of Debt for Business Units and Privately-held Companies

 

 

 

 

John Oxley
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Monitoring and Forecasting Bad Rates

 

 

 

 

Daniel Weaver
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Analytical Data Profiling

 

 

 

 

Steve Smith
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Analytics in the Sub-Prime Mortgage Industry

 

 

 

 

Adrian Paine
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Application Fraud Detection Models

Experian

 

 

 

Paul Orton
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Global Commercial Risk Scores

Experian

 

 

 

John Worthington
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Analytical Approaches for Exposure Management Strategies

 

 

 

 

Paul Russell
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Consumer insolvency in the UK

 

 

 

 

Lyn C Thomas
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Measuring the Discrimination Quality of Suites of Scorecards: ROCS, Ginis, Bounds and Segmentation

University of Southampton

 

 

 

I-Ding Wu

David J Hand
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Product selection in the presence of selectivity bias

 

 

 

 

Mark Somers et al
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Survival models for combined credit and prepayment risk

 

 

 

 

Konstantinos Falangis

John Glen
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Developing Classifiers from Unbalanced Datasets

 

 

 

 

Konstantinos Falangis

John Glen
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Heuristics for Feature Selection in Mathematical Programming Discriminant Analysis Models

 

 

 

 

Gerd Castermans

David Martens

Tony Van Gestel

Bart Hamers

Bart Baesens
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Quantitative Validation: An Overview and Framework for PD Backtesting and Benchmarking

 

 

 

 

Eric D Olson

Billie Anderson

Mike Hardin
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

A Comparative Study of Two Different Credit Models

 

 

 

 

David J Weston

David J Hand

Niall M Adams

Christopher Whitrow

Piotr Juszczak
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Plastic Card Fraud Detection using Peer Group Analysis

Imperial College

 

 

 

Shu.-Min. Lin

Jake Ansell

Galina Andreeva
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Merton models or credit scoring: modelling default of a small business

 

 

 

 

Shu.-Min. Lin

Jake Ansell

Galina Andreeva
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Predicting default of a small business using different definitions of financial distress

 

 

 

 

Billie Anderson

Eric D Olson

Mike Hardin
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Comparison of Reject Inference Techniques using a simulation study

 

 

 

 

Reza Shahi
Bart Baesens

PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Developing Powerful and Comprehensible Models for Bankruptcy Prediction

 

 

 

 

Raquel Florez-Lopez
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Effects of missing data in credit risk scoring. A comparative analysis of methods to gain robustness in presence of scarce data

 

 

 

 

Raquel Florez-Lopez
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Over time validation of credit rating systems for the external mapping approach. Do general risk-perceptions affect credit risk ratings?

 

 

 

 

Philomena M Bacon
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Determinants and Effects of Mortgage Equity Withdrawal in the United Kingdom

 

 

 

 

Ellen Brock

Ramasubramanian Sundararajan

Tarun Bhaskar
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Customer default and prepayment: Incorporating macroeconomic conditions

 

 

 

 

Robert B Avery

Kenneth P Brevoort

Glenn Canner
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Does Credit Scoring Produce a Disparate Impact?

 

 

 

 

Lyn C Thomas

Christophe Mues

Anna Matuszyk
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Loss Given default paper - title to be confirmed

University of Southampton

 

 

 

Martha Poon
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Manufacturing scorecards, manufacturing scores: A History of Fair, Isaac & Company Incorporated

 

 

 

 

Alan Lucas
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Basel Compliant Modelling with Little or No Data

Rhino Risk

 

 

 

Arkadiusz Ziemba

Piotr Markowski

Wojciech Latusek
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Dynamic Model for Behavioural Scoring

 

 

 

 

Vijay Desai
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Applications of Soft Clustering in Fraud and Credit Risk Modelling

 

 

 

 

Peter G Moffatt
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

A Microeconometric Model of the Choice between Fixed and Variable Rate Mortgages in the UK

University of East Anglia

 

 

 

Angela Jezewska
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Predicting Recovery Rates for Defaulting Credit Card Debt

University of Southampton

 

 

 

Madhur Malik

Lyn Thomas
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Modelling Credit Risk of Portfolio of Consumer Loans

 

 

 

 

Allen N Berger

Adrian M Cowan

W Scott Frame
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

The Adoption of Small Business Credit Scoring by Smaller and Smaller Banks and the Attendant Effects on Credit Availability

 

 

 

 

Ross Gayler
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

A case study of reject inference: Misleading extrapolation from the accepts

 

 

 

 

Kate Sharman
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

When Scoring Doesn’t Work

 

 

 

 

Derek Spence
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Basel II – A View from the Other Side

 

 

 

 

Peter Beling

Kanshukan Rajaratnam

George Overstreet
PDF Presentation (Presentation)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Building Efficient Portfolios using Multiple Scorecards

 

 

 

 

Sumit Agarwal

John Driscoll

Xavier Gabaix

David Laibson
PDF Paper (Paper)
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

The age of reason: financial decisions over the lifecycle

 

 

 

 

Jonathan Crook

Tony Bellotti

Galina Andreeva

Jake Ansell
PDF Abstract (Abstract)

Estimating Loss Given Default

 

 

 

 

Dickon Brough
PDF Presentation (Presentation)

Basel II: The FSA view of long-run PDs, variable scalars & stress testing

Financial Services Authority

 

 

 

Edward Huang

C Scott
PDF Paper (Paper)

Credit Risk Scorecard Design, Validation and user Acceptance: A lesson for Modellers and Risk Managers

HBoS

 

 

 

M So, L Thomas
PDF Presentation (Presentation)

Optimizing credit limit policies to maximize customer lifetime value

University of Southampton

 

 
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William Robertson Building, 50 George Square, Edinburgh EH8 9JY

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